Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 11:09:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,323.6
Unexplained QUAI: 88,971.32
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
6.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
102,294.92 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 102295 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
Net sender
Unknown type
13,238.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,238.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
84.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:08:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate52 tx
102,294.92 QUAI • 70 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:09:31 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
36.03 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:07:24 P.M.
+2 min
28 tx
13,642.66 QUAI • 47 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:10:36 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
22.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:06:19 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:11:39 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
94.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:05:15 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
1,735.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:12:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,238.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:09:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
84.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:09:42 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x000100257cf5c705c11e242721c57b753b303a8748d4bd69cb0aedaf70cf867f
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:09:42 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0050000a35fa35cc7e1c4691752890ccf14519f98625f40050939ca80703a25d
13,238.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:09:42 P.M.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
Tx: 0x0013006b43298d41c6aaeb579e7fbc0b52733d7a4ef63eb710e9fbe0b142ffaf