Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 10:12:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 10:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 187.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.43
Unexplained QI: 297.57
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
0 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
65.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
187.68 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:12:15 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:11:11 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
187.68 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:13:20 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,169.43 QUAI • 70 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:10:08 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:14:25 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:09:04 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:15:28 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
4.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 10:16:32 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
64.34 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
64.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x004c0064bc983ce57bb793168f97dcd722c6e42e6eca28410424f4cf72bf9419
13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x001d0034dcf0ed62be9b8d1850e149e30d229559f2698a51ac848b2ece381643
4.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Tx: 0x005a001f681a63534f9cef45a207d1d3c8b63385e6fb4d5770322414638033fd
5.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005529e6E13B3A8D2Dde36eeBE75846264325c35
Tx: 0x0010000aec70795a99c4b75de9e98c9f145619b6a2a6517d12bac41f68c89b4d
4.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0016007cfd39e875d890c5e5afa6ceaa03222ccb3b63d7328f90a40e44efa7ab
5.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x0018004f11d65170244535ef4424de3764007749bc150b8aa6bbb568586c9b98
11.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x002300308f6fd24a4de59729a641ddf25ed58dcf2d2e8816e0320238687fb1b7
26.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003e00524aaed6520f722e28f370efa5a3158bbe7e23d0d989e72c76c65bf25c
4.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x0036005702b9bf90c52e96b5ceb33ef1a1e50f34b5be1ec8cec000639344d5a0
27.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004e002dc9f676831010c78a37cb7854deb7bbdc2097e92fe1330a7f0b86bdc0
21.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0006001eb5eeffee030f2e9add09c5693e530074cfe2b94d284d33bf7f69a656
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 10:12:06 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007700c045d1607c62b7c8df3aed94736c1d0fab793816a4ea3334a0551460e1
