Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 9:21:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 9:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,082.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
5.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
2,750 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00557785309bE8dDDb09af9c68b3190094A9ba55 • 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2750 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00557785309bE8dDDb09af9c68b3190094A9ba55 • 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00557785309bE8dDDb09af9c68b3190094A9ba55
Net sender
Unknown type
2,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,332.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0032A18D9308Cad4D1842e7372a3301ba89ebe63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,332.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,332.97 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
25.37 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:20:30 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,750 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:21:35 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,369.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:22:39 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
14.49 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:18:25 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:23:43 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
65.35 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:24:46 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
7 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:16:21 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:25:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,750 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00557785309bE8dDDb09af9c68b3190094A9ba55
To: 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,332.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:21:53 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0032A18D9308Cad4D1842e7372a3301ba89ebe63
Tx: 0x001d00597cb03500f1c2c37c6c9693864fc6fd5a1169bb1093622b70c0b491f5
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:21:53 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0060007d14f6cbb243ad0be6f2e17f281a4fe02de7cc6a0f723427d1ef8a8395
2,750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
From: 0x00557785309bE8dDDb09af9c68b3190094A9ba55
To: 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
Tx: 0x004f007106f4e27eafef6c71376cf09ab0cf97c32cd5202358b7a86cc3f00191