Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 9:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 9:15:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 9:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5
Unexplained QUAI: 28.27
Explained QI: 2.08
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
4.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
33.27 QUAI
2.08 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003C38eAEa4cB24115795acA887D1a3BA29d01a3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 33 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003C38eAEa4cB24115795acA887D1a3BA29d01a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 9:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C38eAEa4cB24115795acA887D1a3BA29d01a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.08 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.08 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
33.27 QUAI • 5 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:15:17 P.M.
-1 min
35 tx
728.49 QUAI • 49 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:14:13 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
7 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:16:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:13:08 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:12:05 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
14.49 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:18:25 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:11:02 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate51 tx
2,329.88 QUAI • 69 addresses
10/24/2026, 9:09:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:15:18 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003C38eAEa4cB24115795acA887D1a3BA29d01a3
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.08 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:15:20 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004e00e8599d39558f0ddf9eb76732a4e1354aed1ac5afa1c6d9a9c574256f49
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 9:15:18 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003C38eAEa4cB24115795acA887D1a3BA29d01a3
Tx: 0x000d003add2f35ed7e79e759c151f702f6a5b3bb5ba679e5dc87d78023e68be9