Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 6:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 6:18:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 6:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52,610.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004C443DcCd3F008bB5Df22AeF4D4B5D3782fcc2 • 0x002f03921A5ab7EBa0f716eaE3044EBF53bD085C.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004C443DcCd3F008bB5Df22AeF4D4B5D3782fcc2 • 0x002f03921A5ab7EBa0f716eaE3044EBF53bD085C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 6:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004C443DcCd3F008bB5Df22AeF4D4B5D3782fcc2
Net sender
Unknown type
18,100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f03921A5ab7EBa0f716eaE3044EBF53bD085C
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014d44131a4E39210c53A1Bb7A8A24E87Aaa75F
Net sender
Unknown type
17,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00685DaF87E29d72eeC11c21bc95a99aa22c273f
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00791ce2d750fC8c24B7F25b724C43356861aC3f
Net sender
Unknown type
16,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 103.39 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:18:27 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:17:24 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
328.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:16:20 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
68,610.92 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:19:31 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
280.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:15:16 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
64,358.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:20:36 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:14:12 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,001 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 6:21:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,100 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004C443DcCd3F008bB5Df22AeF4D4B5D3782fcc2
To: 0x002f03921A5ab7EBa0f716eaE3044EBF53bD085C
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
16,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x00791ce2d750fC8c24B7F25b724C43356861aC3f
To: 0x003F07F81F85E0e503C33D69b35F58Db459082C7
Tx: 0x001e0053c655d013e768b3d5a647bc0e81728b2c3beef76c8317993bfb708595
17,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x0014d44131a4E39210c53A1Bb7A8A24E87Aaa75F
To: 0x00685DaF87E29d72eeC11c21bc95a99aa22c273f
Tx: 0x006a005419bff73a5d451966bcd3b6f887b56536bd1b79169cccc48a368322b7
18,100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x004C443DcCd3F008bB5Df22AeF4D4B5D3782fcc2
To: 0x002f03921A5ab7EBa0f716eaE3044EBF53bD085C
Tx: 0x0001003b1f2b422aaebbf754458a46f2f1bc334c8c971cc27d53022f37d0f757
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x002870A41db7C33331904bbDd3c77421726043D9
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00300045954cfe34362fa7685d805ea9e6a575f632bfd35aeebe92729836b425
103.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b00471b4911b4a1ca9f5e5d20661acf892e5cf2e34cfd37142a39e7e318d9
7.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 6:18:39 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0010005773eed3154b8b53a66205a3eeaed6e7ea8bc986408c93d02031e3b33a