Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 4:12:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
952.36 QUAI • 52 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:11:33 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:12:37 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:10:28 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
1,825.16 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:13:41 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,274.08 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:09:24 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
853.15 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:14:45 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:08:20 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
128.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:15:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:12:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000a000cae60526b49cfcf02a66dd3bb2f4e0a7edbf9d49cc15b85d343feb205
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Tx: 0x002c007e9de0b9cf42eb829d7a4856f1d816310d555edc5f3fd41a403339859e