Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 3:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 3:45:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 3:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 39 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 3:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5
Net sender
Unknown type
19.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000221e65f8E4231AF702B2A712B7Dd438D3cd9e
Net sender
Unknown type
19.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
114.22 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:44:50 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
58.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:43:46 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
39 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:45:54 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:42:42 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:46:57 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
78 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:41:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:48:02 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
58.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:40:35 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19.5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:45:11 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0068003932f135348dd636a2fcd13d74efcdc1cf71c3cc5f155d3251907dbb86
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x000221e65f8E4231AF702B2A712B7Dd438D3cd9e
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0064007e34c995630708e3ed998748fc50c90fc9861a0bd1da38ec1a8e78d6da