Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,013.18
Unexplained QUAI: 17,657.66
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
9
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
22,670.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 22671 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,914.56 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
1,274.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018f57A7965658Da0c48Ce3f941eEccA6f76324
Net sender
Unknown type
1,251.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
Net sender
Unknown type
1,212.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003D6791B8aF75124B93CA85A70533B9015505b
Net sender
Unknown type
1,175.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,914.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate57 tx
107,944.62 QUAI • 78 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:26:39 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:25:35 P.M.
+1 min
24 tx
22,670.84 QUAI • 41 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:27:44 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
18,441.41 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
40.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:28:49 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
136.5 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:29:54 P.M.
-4 min
11 tx
30,287.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:23:27 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/24/2026, 3:30:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,274.89 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
20.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:49 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007d0018d505c519cbd32835da159df2a11454b25bcb46b13f85f4b6ed72f250
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:45 P.M.
From: 0x0079F45903739175e49946c7458501f5c8CE48a1
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x003b001feae9a48d77c0ff3b6dd3cc4f02253543f7b83541ddb60d51dfcd595c
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x002056FC4337392976ba9fB3f3a8894DCc3D02b4
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x000e001d0b7a0b4a8565b8c86816050606db47ff10ad0c070b1db30259517acf
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0078Bde74BE8da127cDcB6a083b2CE690C2EA93f
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00700063ff98d7a39b8f9ae1325ae7bd1027cba33bfc66d384d76e08cec91624
19.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0032dB7A84dc5730202C48771F510d0B1A03043c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00160050cbf683c10f1fca279e30d4d3eac5c3443ce8863acdd4806e995b107b
1,175.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0003D6791B8aF75124B93CA85A70533B9015505b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072007a38067a05cc13cd003c7173f4f82fa441d812c625081bfe7dae9d7822
1,212.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a002f4e61e2e5c28e3c3dfe12c177a45609fe30b6958cff52caa34591cdc4
1,274.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780020fa6e10ad970d1cfda6c6869b15b126a28122279bf15fac90323e5474
1,251.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0018f57A7965658Da0c48Ce3f941eEccA6f76324
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0040d934445234d2e12ab6d7d9396b5993529b620b4877636308b3ad24d5