Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 1:48:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,314.63
Unexplained QUAI: 12,072.63
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
46x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
14,387.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14387 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
293.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006B3450cca780066A3A8aA8b508103d25315Ea4
Net receiver
Unknown type
293.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005548f3a262aA1C1Cf42a8E25Fa01Aa897c3977
Net sender
Unknown type
21.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
14,387.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:48:29 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
53,042.84 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:47:25 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,021.41 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:46:21 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
314.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:49:33 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
121.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:45:17 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
20,000 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:50:37 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:44:13 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
11,996 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:51:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:48:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
21.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:48:54 P.M.
From: 0x005548f3a262aA1C1Cf42a8E25Fa01Aa897c3977
To: 0x004838edf90dA5EF8dC7a9f60B1bd6BAc11E33F5
Tx: 0x00010058651970d4bd46620765250963feadb710ff765f8d5796f3b6cf295ee9
293.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:48:54 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x006B3450cca780066A3A8aA8b508103d25315Ea4
Tx: 0x001700330165f250a65723f8b2b10cfc2719585533e6b4f10a44079b40eb85ef
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:48:22 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00300076f7676e8d963a451ffe85b06e2cc2920bef373fbfc2f04d4b46140fc3