Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 1:46:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 1:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,021.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
8.4x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,021.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1021 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
33,000 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,021.41 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:46:21 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
121.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:45:17 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
53,042.84 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:47:25 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:44:13 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
14,387.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:48:29 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:43:09 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
43.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:42:04 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
314.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:49:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:38 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x001c0034b721cf312cccfb460f52526f08323106b2c3753738b7d24423f66f42
21.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:29 P.M.
From: 0x0009563b004E1c6C423286ee44230bA179C1F6EE
To: 0x0028bEEb5a7922f37c02B481976724C5ff3cF21D
Tx: 0x0016000e1c831f5267f8c7ac269743e20de4dc0e98cbe307a50f6a2a5a1cf337
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:29 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
Tx: 0x0033001b7e107c5590e20e91585e8e28878a477f388bd5e763f0fe221128bc4e
3,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:29 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00790060ff3dcce2c222da372e51d5e28f3285d343665f550024645b9009f674
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:46:29 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006c007e941e8d39f3e51c0bb63d22559db9ae19037f41707a45ca226732471e