Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 1:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 1:40:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 1:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,520.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
8,520.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8521 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 1:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
8,499.33 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,251.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039CC5f696fa2321F385fB40DDf280fA1527F80
Net sender
Unknown type
4,248.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003a919C79421c00Dba329ED12330433dF086515
Net sender
Unknown type
21.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc365BB246AAb0e58c9Aa0f58137Bb3cBbC69
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
362,409 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:39:56 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
4,294.38 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:38:52 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
8,520.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:41:00 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:37:48 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
43.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:42:04 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
21.53 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:36:45 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:43:09 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
55.11 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 1:35:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,251.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:40:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4,248.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:40:37 P.M.
From: 0x0039CC5f696fa2321F385fB40DDf280fA1527F80
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00470053e986e9df613edc910d4ca7464d205e6f62c897c4139ab055fa87c79c
21.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:40:08 P.M.
From: 0x003a919C79421c00Dba329ED12330433dF086515
To: 0x004Bc365BB246AAb0e58c9Aa0f58137Bb3cBbC69
Tx: 0x0030001a3f2747cbe2a1ee158557c058021221c13b84a450655de96ad8495531
4,251.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 1:40:08 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x002b00638e9c1d380024fcd651e76298e4633afbe7f8023ce64b7b789ccc8e92