Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 12:55:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 12:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
21.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007828210EA728905F9780ba9B392FE632916648 • 0x0028B421BFAf27BcbA5E6Cf2831a57004371B6ed.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 22 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007828210EA728905F9780ba9B392FE632916648 • 0x0028B421BFAf27BcbA5E6Cf2831a57004371B6ed.
0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (5 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007828210EA728905F9780ba9B392FE632916648
Net sender
Unknown type
21.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028B421BFAf27BcbA5E6Cf2831a57004371B6ed
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062d0Af84ce5621Daadbfe44749EC7b53e9aE2c
Net sender
Unknown type
21.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e221a38F1e3847E13f505Aa6a08032B534822
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
Net sender
Unknown type
9 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
5 repeated flows • 9 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
21.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:55:08 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
21.52 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:54:05 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
52.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:56:12 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
21.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:53:01 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
46.13 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:57:16 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
66.61 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:51:57 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
43.01 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:58:21 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
21.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/24/2026, 12:50:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
21.52 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:51 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007828210EA728905F9780ba9B392FE632916648
To: 0x0028B421BFAf27BcbA5E6Cf2831a57004371B6ed
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
21.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:51 P.M.
From: 0x007828210EA728905F9780ba9B392FE632916648
To: 0x0028B421BFAf27BcbA5E6Cf2831a57004371B6ed
Tx: 0x003f00541ae2d6d785ea6c16390c33a195d4e3bd6a3aa1d246536afce9e09ab0
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:48 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002f001d6e16299693d7eddc383dbe4837bcc8a62ee62103bd99d2915a3d29af
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:48 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0065001e93fc2c9fbd9ba0fd01f066f9325610b9163fec8d3b4b8c3cb65357d1
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:48 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0043000f7c366642deed621794c17958c2da4fe17fd6a63ed9b79a9f84c993bc
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:48 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001e00740b82d3eb70757a2634f4574454916becae519767344df4e99ec4a99d
21.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:30 P.M.
From: 0x0062d0Af84ce5621Daadbfe44749EC7b53e9aE2c
To: 0x004e221a38F1e3847E13f505Aa6a08032B534822
Tx: 0x0027000a3f4447a0a96e521706ad5ef6f17a9d00c867c292c6b95f726e0defae
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 12:55:30 P.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003b001eaf6f00f216e4462c1c1a27322ebdc61eba6398eda852c7af872a77af