Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 4:18:00 A.M. to 10/24/2026, 4:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 101,378.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.3x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
101,378.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 101379 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
101,372.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,687.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007668048021941B6ba570889EA32ebEDD2c75E1
Net sender
Unknown type
50,684.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:17:53 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
50,687.77 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:16:49 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
101,378.99 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:18:57 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
54.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:15:45 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:20:00 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:14:42 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:21:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/24/2026, 4:13:38 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,687.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:18:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
50,687.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:18:18 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x001d0062533775d244bd312081fc859ad13a7a0c451ffadc9181770eaa97d7b1
50,684.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x007668048021941B6ba570889EA32ebEDD2c75E1
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003f006ca51698c8e5ffd6c754d6dfacfe40e7c9358d1765f0e1a6209718fc37
5.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00580065b7b941313a1f1694f48e0056d88b834cd77e321c053ebcc4f0f6d429
1.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 4:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003c0013ceec1cde9a223983e8998401071b969a90e7cd92e8a7b52e87d00a9c