Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 2:48:00 A.M. to 10/24/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,523.18
Unexplained QUAI: 36,038.34
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
9.9x previous minute
7.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
31
Observable rows
12
38.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
47
Asset volume
47,561.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 47562 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
6,421.48 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,073.01 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,197.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,007.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062cecEDEF108dD45c7b3156A0807fD1a51112C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,928.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate31 tx
47,561.52 QUAI • 47 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:48:24 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
4,813.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:47:18 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
6,753.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:49:28 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
10,445.37 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:46:14 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
20,234.93 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:45:11 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
5,321.07 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:50:32 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
18,466.56 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:44:05 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
9,292.1 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,197.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
1,928.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062cecEDEF108dD45c7b3156A0807fD1a51112C
Tx: 0x006c0074bae037ce29d7814d2cb97bd6a756ddefa79f4c3cedcb627d1eeceafa
234.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078Bc2e7782713378F8fe2485e64C9413284C79
Tx: 0x000700561f61af2e5ea69c449398d2a49e7a9686ea93f5f836e99bc830f29422
2,007.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x000d00637c7b6172ceea9dd9647afedd62a391b763859834de53f567cc92071c
953.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x00210006e20e65c0d62d78d445d97bc95800d49f33507cd288ee8cd22bca5cd4
992.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x00510031ada11b51ec40e0f2ca893ff088990c7f96d934458bd3f05dbbfcbc6b
212.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00770A60FeaE7A1E68b702aE81c2A452958050dD
Tx: 0x0073005f7e6359208e2a584072dd1e4c73ae6f4fdc5e40649022186001af9710
2,197.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x0048007547985d2b16d2f5745bbd79638df958701de6163e71f4f898e29fb3c4
791.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Tx: 0x001a00425ff996fbdf87bba7cfc790219372d883b93b8a959078f459be2ddf96
18.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:12 A.M.
From: 0x0027c50535276AAa7172C9FA91eFcD2222A9d389
To: 0x001E5B3ba4C172B5735E0fe368e875Aa80823920
Tx: 0x006400574a7cab25e24df784872779754ac5b8a31f192775a673ceff14d50544
1,826.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2
Tx: 0x00490060089861c6984dd626a542da7b7eb680fd9c56d9966fac7428dc9de3b8
349.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x006f0041152a537fad05d3bc061c8f5ac4151b8c319d9b2898023b216eb30ebf
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:48:04 A.M.
From: 0x001E5B3ba4C172B5735E0fe368e875Aa80823920
To: 0x0015f71de1574c772B6815D25B233C065f42c896
Tx: 0x003b001017287d1795f6fb1677dc81f11b4426d1b65032084412cbfde57d0be2
