Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 10/24/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
34% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,796.86
Unexplained QUAI: 26,204.32
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
6.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
10
55.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
40,001.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 40001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (66% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (34%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
12,017.7 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,300.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,074.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,779.16 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
943.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
5,767.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:35:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate18 tx
40,001.18 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
14,527.62 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:34:25 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
25,652.21 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:37:38 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
17,174.08 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:33:15 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
18,199.19 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:38:44 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
4,905.81 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:32:11 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,688.89 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:39:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,300.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
565.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00538409a047E841b1e495DCb33431D563553b13
Tx: 0x0033005a7cd1fd1949f93aa67d73a66b86dd18b3ba9135b9f62f995d949b4b39
943.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x007b0078258eb82469324d730dd72fab63667da19afba2c872136db93ea13f01
2,074.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x00210077a9268163f1ad513961122b9be319aedfce71f9f273d33a5d2e41f1df
228.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0052d1507B3FD77A7e125096dB43ec321CD4831e
Tx: 0x00290044f26639924e491d8476736e285516db12cff25e1e61cb4c4ebe25130c
418.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x0019007e848f1603cb521355ca74074d0d951e02e23d6a8e8564cb9869c8b706
8,300.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x004400444c6aa6d4b62223a1db932e89672775b4fa3c808c24d1b888c3fefe14
177.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x0029006ffb072f9199845a50ced6eab3ba073a922ef8f98067aab1495d162708
325.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004ce8dC11Eb9Cc4D163f881Ff795F96756d237C
Tx: 0x0070001f77a33c1e53f28b1a566d03d6c2830695b55e8c12c6ba1d7810466599
521.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bc9D9bbFFF01079A84f410D0fe06b984120bf
Tx: 0x000a001b987eccb445cb76dfe91d766cba735b3878f2a30df05cd24cf7c083a1
241.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C6516450ABC9CD3feCa4DFFaf997A9465676F
Tx: 0x0053000646ebd2c6e42590802ace80ed461f2371462f200565af3da7e6bd08f0