Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 10/24/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
84% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,905.81
Unexplained QUAI: 968.78
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
5,874.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 5875 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,463.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,442.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,708.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,601.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
538.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
5,874.59 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:31:07 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate24 tx
34,121.36 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:30:03 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
4,905.81 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:32:11 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
5,396.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:28:58 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
17,174.08 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:33:15 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
5,087.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:27:54 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
14,527.62 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:34:25 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
22,158.64 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,708.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
382.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Tx: 0x0043004e9ea33afd81d811a2bae9e8de55e03b0bd384e0ff1abc7cf7ec24cc29
538.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x004b006c2e12cbbae50c63bcb837d5e7cdb0f968ff3647730df55ce73bdf35ee
217.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x00230072a80f88579928fdd6535dba2a71d20fdda7245a42fa67e062b3884d4e
1,601.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Tx: 0x00790019bda0327eeed7a4a3473ec716885f993e46d179cba4b2370baba1bf61
458.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00454AfacF630E31be55A5FfD972242C55b7ff94
Tx: 0x0001005c0b617236431a124ce736f0ec868b6c2c3cd7a31dcc73d5c302d1e1bf
1,708.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:31:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Tx: 0x00390070a0f0095be99d5b74b21bab93f38c1c810b8b3ce87e2994388fa8a51d