Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 2:28:00 A.M. to 10/24/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
83% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,490.92
Unexplained QUAI: 905.67
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
5,396.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5397 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,701.43 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,789.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,123.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040B196cF048Af3F1475341022156582926ED8C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,047.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003AD3ff7B29d4BEddaEc184a2D016321a4314B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
662.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
5,087.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:27:54 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
22,158.64 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
5,396.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:28:58 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
14,627 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:25:46 A.M.
+2 min
24 tx
34,121.36 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:30:03 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate25 tx
36,296.78 QUAI • 39 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:24:42 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
5,874.59 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:31:07 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
24,472.05 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/24/2026, 2:23:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,123.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
393.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003d0A679462BC30C22CAC78fb18366ca4b9f383
Tx: 0x0065006540a850ff945a97c9b18cbfdfbb4cf854bf5d528da778038eb277e875
1,123.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x001a000d1fdf28572b00d03bb22832050be7ed604c7b5675409c45f3d1ce8e01
230.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x007e0075f9dfc775ab23a5593cee79daaf34b4e0b5b1e5cce98bf6da9f911fe8
1,047.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0040B196cF048Af3F1475341022156582926ED8C
Tx: 0x003f005195f010bf2900fd14027d3b2cc9a7ebc5b494ed035f3999a7fb099508
502.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x000200134051e60fa0715b48504f5996d10440ca74d694f92510ec57753f5b4c
305.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x006b006b427cdadf0d85561d24313022d0aee209eee452af08b493389eb05e54
225.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003FbeBABE706A63091341247DB77adEAb5f44c6
Tx: 0x0039000587a74781b53c380a20b2d01976378793f1b174ab5b53acd29b094970
662.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 2:28:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003AD3ff7B29d4BEddaEc184a2D016321a4314B0
Tx: 0x00460052598ae8c977e7428eed2e0c8c5e27d7df383e35b48638065f82ad6c6a
