Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 11:48:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 11:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,069
Unexplained QUAI: 18,928.76
Explained QI: 757.41
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
436x previous minute
19x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
19,997.75 QUAI
757.41 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,069 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Net receiver
Unknown type
831.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
757.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
757.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0061afA0d19BB0a7811E41C3eEB4E8884473F1f6
Net receiver
Unknown type
237.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 757.41 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
19,997.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
45.87 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:46:56 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,069 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:49:04 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:45:52 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,007.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:44:48 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
72.71 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:51:09 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
4 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:43:45 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
11 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:52:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
831.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
378.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005a004ba7b0bfa4430df9516d181858ee074ae8925b0a8580613a20c936883e
378.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004d0028d86c2d53ec4e931bab63f950f9d3a209df6b202627238f64148a51fa
237.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0061afA0d19BB0a7811E41C3eEB4E8884473F1f6
Tx: 0x007d006de01d3c20911ce9f97103b597c049eb75ef8fdbb8adb7abf529bba033
831.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:07 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Tx: 0x00260026750dba1011030957a966bf8d8d7e72c7dfb438fd8911f8972b041ac5