Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 11:39:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 11:40:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.5
Unexplained QUAI: 2,735
Explained QI: 831.63
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
40x previous minute
161x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
2,742.5 QUAI
831.63 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2743 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
831.64 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
831.64 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
7.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059B4CC6Bb7Cc573671949d6ef456C01e1bF298
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 831.63 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
2,742.5 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
67.95 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:38:25 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:37:22 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
17 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:40:33 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
53.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:36:18 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:41:37 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
924 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:35:15 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
3,641.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:42:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
416.12 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:39:31 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
416.12 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:39:31 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001200612519a929b4b8cfc5979aba938f6138d4427a1898e603311e0f52e2e3
7.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:39:15 P.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x0059B4CC6Bb7Cc573671949d6ef456C01e1bF298
Tx: 0x0049007484c911f439690e612e7a8a284bef6925ecfb2328faacf0d244bf4145
415.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:39:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00330016cdf08ad7d03411b75c05a17ce9599ccdb4d1223d5135a2e30de3c273
