Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 9:17:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16.43
Unexplained QUAI: 95.35
Explained QI: 867.24
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
111.78 QUAI
867.24 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 112 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
867.24 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
867.24 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.43 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
14.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
Net sender
Unknown type
1.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 867.24 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
50 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
104.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:15:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
111.78 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:17:47 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
73.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:14:36 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
16.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:18:51 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:13:32 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:19:55 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/23/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
434.15 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:53 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
434.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00280017a27c1a1a7cc76c90d85bbcfc21a40347bbbb5d5f8974cdeb480fd35e
0.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:53 P.M.
From: 0x002421a135338777A2A26f2fb6f5ca5FEa8CA7d3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00000032172675c19d21ed2f404f0baa19d9690d8f577591d13e53d9bdc5c71f
14.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:53 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007a002a372212016611d3dec179d4bd91e2921ff6fa377467526a4ec1e471ed
1.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:53 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f006ec6138440e53d0de29ca97f639515f0390d400c3951c75e64f439bc3f
433.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 9:17:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0011006aed1c06aba8409eff157b19d11c7d5ad43fd45f05e9f6c3604ab24bf1