Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40.76
Unexplained QUAI: 42.56
Explained QI: 440.26
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
83.32 QUAI
440.26 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 83 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
440.27 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
440.27 QI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.76 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
20.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
83.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:17:10 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:16:06 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
40.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:18:14 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:15:02 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
20.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:19:18 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
20 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:13:59 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:20:22 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
835.99 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:12:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
440.26 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:36 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x0059B4CC6Bb7Cc573671949d6ef456C01e1bF298
Tx: 0x00320054bcb103bd6853f5cd8ca67148c0ff17095ce05f1264f2e012f0178cd5
0.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x0011A1c0DF91684485B8b136379612B610401C4b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0079000695ad96da006dc5f7d96a4ef2eb9bf26aa525842618aeb0a0bb25e8cd
5.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d007e02b9dfdc5cd9df5b6e3281e3854e4f40b887523827d83a58af38c706
440.26 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000b0063c1967a61e0b9f0ed333bff9af7d7305ae4e0455166b93a825e6f8e95
20.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:17:36 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0029002a2321c601f25ffb04e2c19a5f924be6a4e5b7f06ee1e8e16760730584
