Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 8:09:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 8:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 588.87
Unexplained QUAI: 1,598.86
Explained QI: 444.88
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
3.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
3
5.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
2,187.72 QUAI
444.88 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2188 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
588.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
588.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
446.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
446.88 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 444.88 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:08:39 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
673.71 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:07:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate51 tx
2,187.72 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:09:43 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
348.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:06:30 P.M.
+2 min
35 tx
1,013.03 QUAI • 47 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:10:47 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
630.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:05:27 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
835.99 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:12:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
588.87 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:09:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
444.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:09:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f00625be04818f0fe6661cb9629e8578a3f7aa86a5f5ea40a6b1a1a27b630
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:09:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000c0059ebaa61a954f4a8670650897d4d537d8719f73cf8278109cae2eb9e82
588.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:09:14 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00390042effcad43d1a4a163dec979bb60fc4d07fcd88e05d9cc7a2ebedbcef9