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Spike bucket

10/23/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/23/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,764.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 446.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
8
38.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
1,253.67 QUAI
446.77 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00595E205Df648724c4D0911dd1A3DE57AB879FB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1254 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00595E205Df648724c4D0911dd1A3DE57AB879FB.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
17,450.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00595E205Df648724c4D0911dd1A3DE57AB879FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,450.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
448.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
448.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Net receiver
Unknown type
313.42 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 446.77 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 17,450.59 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 21. The remaining 13 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

17,450.59 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00595E205Df648724c4D0911dd1A3DE57AB879FB
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
446.77 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00390006f34fd86c94d6717e11770b18919dd4c34987215d6ef722f9385d1ccf
Open txWallet profile
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a002b8ba3eb6376560ea913285ab42399ec21f3a09ad81f648bfe0ed85f65
Open txWallet profile
17,450.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00595E205Df648724c4D0911dd1A3DE57AB879FB
Tx: 0x00650057457005157115b4ee7d122991a857ab2ded80eb76ae7a10ac92f60584
Open txWallet profile
62.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9e2Cab0F6D00A0027F7A4B8D7860772239
To: 0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Tx: 0x006900234eaf43e4760e32a8d9a2e9ebba968dcb02e220bc79f3909c0c646f44
62.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x006041198D4635f4305C4356D933f266fE055E52
To: 0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Tx: 0x007c0008e5ff7e84fdb143fa027334101ede948d842f250356723e152e5412e1
62.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x000d51d64Ed378f27E0dF419319B1C9CB4E5119c
To: 0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Tx: 0x002700365278f5a17430c6e608507c959a6a72df14ed9f0debe3a4060e326aba
62.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x00746B47B98179AA4234b473A6Cd4473DC009f9c
To: 0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Tx: 0x004800562dc027b7b05718367ee36d30c0a7cc3ce03a036c0a86445e1dbd0b64
62.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x0011f08C5B7b9bf98fF9aEC31014D62F07D68169
To: 0x0056bD6f306dC094824E4451A5F0D9b8641Ea45B
Tx: 0x005c0021d3340a0f5b29347f2502bcdd505ba1095e97a091d20a660ec3845935