Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 12:54:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 550.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 445.41
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
550.59 QUAI
445.41 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00472f48CFe296A853704de71F5f7756ad790d9C • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 551 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00472f48CFe296A853704de71F5f7756ad790d9C • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00472f48CFe296A853704de71F5f7756ad790d9C
Net sender
Unknown type
503.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
503.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
447.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
447.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
46.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 445.41 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 503.67 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:53:57 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
48.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:52:54 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
550.59 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:55:01 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:51:51 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:56:05 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
14,371.35 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:50:46 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:57:09 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:49:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
503.67 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:54:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00472f48CFe296A853704de71F5f7756ad790d9C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
445.41 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:54:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003400201c60c777843639349ec999031df18292b71950c38d55be3a06fc4a38
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:54:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0031004826f69a5f5f020a21edd7c939dd8f85acbdb582c534de456785725fb6
46.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:54:45 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00510044a863b09ef7fc9789efb331eeb5741b42da17aa3ab95730afc5134662
503.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:54:25 P.M.
From: 0x00472f48CFe296A853704de71F5f7756ad790d9C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380029f599cd99cbd3344ffa56e06e733de996e068b9408c1a762ec9e5c39c