Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 12:15:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 12:16:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32.47
Unexplained QUAI: 57.6
Explained QI: 881.25
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
90.08 QUAI
881.25 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 90 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
881.26 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
881.26 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
32.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00063508b741e15F0a10a8c0B5990B2433D01517
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 881.25 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:14:26 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
90.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:15:30 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
5,397.04 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:13:23 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:16:34 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
119.38 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:12:18 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
10.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:17:38 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate33 tx
24,825.03 QUAI • 49 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:11:14 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
5,510.7 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:18:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
441.67 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:15:37 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
439.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:15:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0078005ae23cc1c3f85c842c7441520109f1f3e2d8c627721e1a6a042a58b57e
441.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:15:37 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0013005a99a8786fb8cab7c667b0bcf31ae13d1eb1004b95a906ddff280f6072
32.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x00063508b741e15F0a10a8c0B5990B2433D01517
Tx: 0x001d00207d929a54bc535808c56be275bfd8b0d5c976c52535ca32e1bec95dbf