Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 12:03:00 P.M. to 10/23/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.01
Unexplained QUAI: 50.51
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 435.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
100.52 QUAI
435.35 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 101 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
50.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
1,166.66 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:02:37 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:01:33 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
100.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:03:41 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:00:30 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
3,017.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:05:49 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2,750 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:59:26 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:06:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:03:07 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
50.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:03:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f
Tx: 0x002b0073b4872f263753e65aa231da4d02bd62cb76893b35e161646b0aaf6a15
