Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 11:48:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,952.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 867.5
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,952.81 QUAI
867.5 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x004195A6F4cA5d45d0C5965cD188E3845743232e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1953 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x004195A6F4cA5d45d0C5965cD188E3845743232e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,952.81 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004195A6F4cA5d45d0C5965cD188E3845743232e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,062.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
869.5 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
869.5 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Net receiver
Unknown type
585.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 867.5 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
36,406.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:47:46 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:46:42 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,952.81 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:48:50 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:45:38 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:49:54 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:44:34 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:43:30 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:51:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,062.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004195A6F4cA5d45d0C5965cD188E3845743232e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
433.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:51 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006300240907481e845c33362200ad9b336bbec5989e9d9888a8809423a6d0ed
433.97 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006f0071d3a60bb69270bc33ade8e41fc2331669b3045eb56eccdf93ea58eb46
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0018005da568795978f3b857e9f7e42f07ffbf7def373b596f9b840305fb68e0
585.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Tx: 0x0053003bd7371420abe94d59f7b5600550ad3bd77a1bf57964d6f2890ad28bc5
1,062.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004195A6F4cA5d45d0C5965cD188E3845743232e
Tx: 0x00550016bb5fe9cb57d6f822472a09239ac68fe639f156f8af0f0458d05fa902
304.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:48:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0039c9c19B5D1d7419BdbCe7d745caDA33fa850A
Tx: 0x001600790e9b392f6c26450459ff5b6e0d0461c70a0bd2013786e81462f1bac2