Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 11:12:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10.74
Unexplained QUAI: 100.83
Explained QI: 435.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
111.57 QUAI
435.11 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 112 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
435.12 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
435.12 QI across 1 visible row
0x0021385d28cD73eE1e201058FBBe8FD2A2644569
Net sender
Unknown type
10.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,030 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:11:37 A.M.
-1 min
23 tx
273.29 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:10:34 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
111.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:12:41 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
820.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:13:45 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,456.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:09:29 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:14:48 A.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,047.12 QUAI • 71 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:08:26 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
61.09 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 11:15:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
435.11 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:12:50 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
435.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0072003088f97eb93df3de77e536dd0572d8bba2c3878e6e86faea998b741de8
10.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 11:12:27 A.M.
From: 0x0021385d28cD73eE1e201058FBBe8FD2A2644569
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0060000231cb6b78993954370dea67cd116f785859268a953c49524bbd528e39