Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 10:24:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,844.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
101x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
31,829.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 31829 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
6,830 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,830 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:23:44 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
316.64 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:22:40 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
31,829.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:24:48 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
103.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:21:36 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
15.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:25:52 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:20:32 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:26:55 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
20,816.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 10:27:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 10:24:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
15.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 10:24:50 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0003003eaf14241750918809e51a3dfcab28993e3a79b90531ffaf898ef1b5ca
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 10:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
To: 0x001278407ce373935737F7e462aa5c9B2d856161
Tx: 0x00620017b61e0aa7d1a544df65be1f94c05ca03a10a7bb5b30114ae9258e691a
6,830 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 10:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002e0005fcb134e9e3656551a0007bc762083f52223a97863c5c9da8b5212fef
19,999.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 10:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000b006962214ca9f2ac0fceff440cb85b0ab96305f084f66244b94e56325cf4
