Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 8:15:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 8:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 74.26
Unexplained QUAI: 167.61
Explained QI: 846.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
2.3x previous minute
3.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
241.87 QUAI
846.87 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 242 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
846.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
846.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
54.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
19.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 846.87 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
241.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:15:03 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
104.72 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:13:58 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
74.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:16:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
3,167 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:12:54 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:17:10 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
80.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:11:50 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
12.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:18:14 A.M.
-4 min
35 tx
1,349.4 QUAI • 49 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:10:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
424.56 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:15:44 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
424.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:15:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005e0043dad839c97347ca24d76bf8e9510d8ebac72cad28f339d91d4beec2b5
19.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:15:37 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30
Tx: 0x003d0061fe6442f0a15e0210aeed3fe20d68232b7367b6ede3b47695d89e83a3
54.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:15:17 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Tx: 0x0079007f50d989df02bf226695ad262b5538f78266447c83a4a5eae29da04cd4
422.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0059000cdec9b8ce8d019120b76091abbcab67ec16c48e8c2392584cd3fbeefb