Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 8:14:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 241.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
241.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 242 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
221.84 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
96.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00230CC1B87355585f7687e476e8F7BaAdEb5d21
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
20.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
104.72 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:13:58 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
3,167 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:12:54 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
241.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:15:03 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
80.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:11:50 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
74.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:16:07 A.M.
-3 min
35 tx
1,349.4 QUAI • 49 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:10:46 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:17:10 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
155.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 8:09:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
96.3 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:14:10 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
57.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:14:53 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00230CC1B87355585f7687e476e8F7BaAdEb5d21
Tx: 0x005a004c961ca54728255910a80dd79585c4c6c44e479ec514c611be1a2955a1
20.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00310005d74ac9eb197652337edb3e9e758d115a6dded49dfeb773f3011aac64
68.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x0018001b4e9c36643efcebb2a0375919bec373e5f3fd3eb258772b374e506571
96.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 8:14:10 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0047006521219dad9e0151bfad54922952c86de02b060f2866b807c601588372