Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 7:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 7:36:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 7:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,996.7
Unexplained QUAI: 13,000
Explained QI: 415.9
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
25,996.7 QUAI
415.9 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003BDFbA990Cf98af6fD25bcB36D5E66970e8B08 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 25997 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003BDFbA990Cf98af6fD25bcB36D5E66970e8B08 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 7:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003BDFbA990Cf98af6fD25bcB36D5E66970e8B08
Net sender
Unknown type
12,996.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,996.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
417.91 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
417.91 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 415.9 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:35:38 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
13,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:34:35 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
25,996.7 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:36:43 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:33:31 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:37:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:38:50 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
6,774.65 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:32:27 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 7:39:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,996.7 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 7:36:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003BDFbA990Cf98af6fD25bcB36D5E66970e8B08
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
415.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 7:36:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000500265727ac45bbc3ccd00b99c472f8ee024161e2468bd1501a9cde091647
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 7:36:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0027002abe508ee166d76efaf55a505ef7352364ac30f4eee9dd54971aee5ea4
12,996.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 7:36:04 A.M.
From: 0x003BDFbA990Cf98af6fD25bcB36D5E66970e8B08
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00650053cabbdd1ad6bec05c77d52070f678b0c820134685007c37cdac6dd7ec