Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 5:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 5:21:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 5:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21.2
Unexplained QUAI: 44.06
Explained QI: 407.61
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
65.26 QUAI
407.61 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 65 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 5:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
407.62 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
407.62 QI across 1 visible row
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
21.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007783A0efc51953ce21C5B1E204bdf9FA08C27a
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
523.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:20:28 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
65.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:21:33 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:19:25 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:22:37 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
7.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:18:21 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:17:17 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:24:42 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
20.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:16:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
407.61 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:21:19 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
407.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:21:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0034000a4dc0969991e0ac6b1fc12f7b8c8ff2bf71a2a25a5eab73e82ed85bf5
21.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:21:09 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x007783A0efc51953ce21C5B1E204bdf9FA08C27a
Tx: 0x00050016b71c5d0895c9bd5a40d915d3ef329e79a106b0117680c0407bfa6d78
