Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 5:15:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 5:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20.7
Unexplained QUAI: 839.98
Explained QI: 1,225.72
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
43x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
860.68 QUAI
1,225.72 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 861 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,227.73 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,227.73 QI across 4 visible rows
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
20.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059B4CC6Bb7Cc573671949d6ef456C01e1bF298
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018B5Cf3AC9A80fcBE38957662CE9E19887D1a0
Net sender
Unknown type
0.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 1,225.72 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
860.68 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:15:10 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:14:05 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
20.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:16:14 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
527.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:12:59 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:17:17 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
121,574.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:11:55 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
7.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:18:21 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,149.9 QUAI • 68 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:10:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
409.09 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:19 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
408.28 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002200034b54b6cd560d118b67b6eff8573479e99a6be3f30089611eaae27dee
20.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x0059B4CC6Bb7Cc573671949d6ef456C01e1bF298
Tx: 0x00350027966ce37fcbc8b41b18bd2a8c2ae9e0df6d6901fefff42e0b8cbf5a3f
409.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00710072c6150b74fe694fb1f363f91407a0e57da094e403bd5de91d4f9f75d8
408.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00310045b1e8b2e4e2b901b187505fcac0990f7b4323add69c58125b8aa432d7
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00530004a839fba2324e8f58cd0cbfc4f2ea8784b01948bd32736eaa39431643
0.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:15:01 A.M.
From: 0x0018B5Cf3AC9A80fcBE38957662CE9E19887D1a0
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002600179a9f82b73b89b91035f2fd6b3411b65becd6180b82bc8606cecf905b