Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 860.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 406.1
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
406.1 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
860.23 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
507.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
406.1 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
406.1 QI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
249.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 860.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:14:05 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
527.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:12:59 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
860.68 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:15:10 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
121,574.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:11:55 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
20.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:16:14 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,149.9 QUAI • 68 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:10:51 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:17:17 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
67,094.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 5:09:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
507.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:14:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
249.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040021b3c0a9d6911dda57f93bbe1a2fa3c03d5ab75440394fb47ac671fbaf
103.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016002589c824f65e78ab6b90f4c9c07c2a5f1cb37fa8ca221edbab5bace574
507.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005900559460f6c4aa435a7b272594cf0fb45e16386f70069c5b8d409c42b157
406.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0044005062cd195ef9d8fdc7723ba20be28d2d759705d505d16f6c225dac652e