Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 4:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 4:45:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 4:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743 • 0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743 • 0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 4:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
35.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D5A3399c2375C944CCfFdbD637181951A3CE2
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:45:17 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
79,993.53 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:44:12 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
35.71 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:46:21 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:43:09 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:47:24 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:42:05 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:48:28 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
47.32 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/23/2026, 4:41:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
17.9 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:45:21 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
17.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:45:31 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x001D5A3399c2375C944CCfFdbD637181951A3CE2
Tx: 0x0025007b48827f375c5317b74dcc343064a37670563cd922b27627f5d53d9e9a
17.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 4:45:21 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x002655c1d2c65c6AC4757690B541ebb2566BEf30
Tx: 0x00530032ee59afddf8e7cd16ec2a05beef7775e57b2589d3465bc5df56e4b451