Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 3:12:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 3:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 342.29
Unexplained QUAI: 517.95
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
860.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 860 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
321.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
321.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
21.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:11:47 A.M.
-1 min
44 tx
1,040.24 QUAI • 56 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:10:43 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
860.24 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:12:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:09:39 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:13:55 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,413.85 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:08:35 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
9.21 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:14:58 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:07:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
321.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:12:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
21.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:12:37 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x006c005b3a6589be1a421aafafe7e0f17569a2f3a19c1516b4b18d4f2729f92a
321.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:12:05 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0026000ea814f4df2aa7f459e07e74a218d0fc9b395ba0b569c31c229c8fd85c