Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 3:11:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 517.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
517.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
197.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
112.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
105.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
102.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 517.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
44 tx
1,040.24 QUAI • 56 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:10:43 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:09:39 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:11:47 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,413.85 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:08:35 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
860.24 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:12:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:07:31 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:13:55 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
9.21 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/23/2026, 3:14:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
197.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
105.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d000e8376bddf612c6f78bc29e91147010eb9280d9e42dc3db4085d6c892e
102.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180028cb83ed547fd7cfae594740180e2a236a6f919484437d1abd0824211c
197.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021005c3d85244e90adb88dea4c738e963ef3773aed76a4aa1b072e99ceac4d
112.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e003441cb9cfbbe2395466c64502ea9dea1e4e44a396d598608a9f1ce4998
