Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
89% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,184.21
Unexplained QUAI: 884.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
8,068.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8069 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,054.7 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,034.23 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,177.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,466.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,095.28 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
8,068.83 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:19:10 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate24 tx
27,818.79 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:18:05 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
14,578.84 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:20:14 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
9,379.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:17:01 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
23,022.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:21:18 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
17,046.68 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
13,143.4 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
11,440.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:14:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,177.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
2,177.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Tx: 0x0048007b116a194b2ffa951acb0ceff81e0309ac02e2171e86c8aa61bff251a2
817.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x005f005808699851eff5a295660ca525c6c2eb540774a8fe470ff97450b85d8d
350.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0029512E1E10E66bd91AE821A1B6B06B1890F1D4
Tx: 0x007200647ffd65d15a369ef18bf2045b1cca3386bdc9343de034031f2935c1eb
155.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x002e007ae8f6da61aa235f4ea9b6016c0dfe219078307474d7dbd808b97a5d2f
1,466.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x003b003080c1d4cbc33acd535b13f489341c95886af1815d760d46cedf246d64
392.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x0015004107abc896bda3562d329de20fdb7bd0d183809a6a81ef4181ace16397
181.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x0077004653c4b2a39e6c250a6d8c69b2f465aa0eb86c211280a9c6227664a437
457.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x00140009c8bc39c27b5b7a37c367f44ce1c91d48013712741493e23238d532e5
171.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0070bf09F47467A0D0Fe3052D9D56009dA17eB50
Tx: 0x000c002ce0b22dfeab956b894cadc68aef5f59d086877fab079fb009ce69f2da
293.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0023A3549418d020b2A3DbEe0b17fCF2687DC429
Tx: 0x0048006202ed38a266b8d78b78473c07c03d7add470f31bcde6ba27195d7d6ad
550.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x00140022e26759f80134fdee83ca02439441feabdfc6620e311bf72999a0bd80
170.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x006d00279841b45abb78398c44778ea8e186db4ba85f02cc42d7eb3ecc32d954
