Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
76% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,133.81
Unexplained QUAI: 2,246.16
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
9,379.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9380 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,340.36 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,921.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021c7fc3566F2A633Aed9806b7c0cEe6a2dA41f
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,737.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
945.53 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
847.92 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
9,379.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:17:01 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
17,046.68 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate24 tx
27,818.79 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:18:05 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
11,440.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:14:52 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
8,068.83 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:19:10 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,414.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:13:49 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
14,578.84 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:20:14 A.M.
-4 min
17 tx
24,168.71 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:12:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,921.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
463.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x0046002532bc3d96bf822d5957cf4ad082893fa944a99c6d0b79388bbe485944
681.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00249Dc146e8558f53d5a4213C30Ab3c32ECA114
Tx: 0x00680016394da90e7650cb0bc04c977da91a22b0967576333b60729f003e226c
445.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005CFBf6a15B44EfAfE1a985C8A5384d291a09AF
Tx: 0x0040006f01a73b5eb83e89264fbbed6e39dab776bdf2f510d9becd560ac6b7f0
242.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Tx: 0x000700793baf4dba246d4714f36ae97bde6dd2a6b6814da8941f38e050dec8e2
135.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B72C33a5C7cFa448223c657b1ec0Bb181C23A
Tx: 0x00310058948430efd11960ff1e1ebaf16c326f3c65b967ab718ea70f02d24030
2,921.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Tx: 0x001c007a7890ecb7fcdaaccd0389cfb30f1466aa22621ceb9e8cade29233c149
159.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0056E9172354FdFc019bcFb12755b13Df61C84a0
Tx: 0x003500745e6752077a1d2ae06af8f6deb3f9bfe6843384c830d06a3ce0d50613
1,737.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0021c7fc3566F2A633Aed9806b7c0cEe6a2dA41f
Tx: 0x0048000b8882959c8f32faa76d4f1849add7c4a883f9046c8780c1cf8b8f26f5
346.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0033003680702e9192e89190d5dba3260f1682353344b94e906dff0feb4956f4
