Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,379.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
9,379.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002191B6718662eA19ab46403B8b82E3CE8E647f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9380 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002191B6718662eA19ab46403B8b82E3CE8E647f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,038.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002191B6718662eA19ab46403B8b82E3CE8E647f
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,261.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,652.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,395.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Net receiver
Unknown type
777.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
17,046.68 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
11,440.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:14:52 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
9,379.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:17:01 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,414.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:13:49 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate24 tx
27,818.79 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:18:05 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
24,168.71 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:12:45 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
8,068.83 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:19:10 A.M.
-4 min
48 tx
23,758.77 QUAI • 59 addresses
10/23/2026, 2:11:39 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,261.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002191B6718662eA19ab46403B8b82E3CE8E647f
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
127.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0053D18Bc4dAA1C1441d766F1AD69b3eB55a3d10
Tx: 0x001f003fc967366e7e814e6b74d057147588aca487285c5e5474e00b67eb8c01
777.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Tx: 0x0036001c7abcdd9e62b04013acf08732c3ffb7d2a767c1be9f68e3b354d33537
561.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
Tx: 0x00150049e8c6898e435719594731043c2eb2531cfa7d8c27475d8a9e6df97d07
6,261.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002191B6718662eA19ab46403B8b82E3CE8E647f
Tx: 0x00750034a2c609f85155bd69b17f26dc2fece09d154cf20c0fa5738385d0721b
257 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x00044cDa9FC31DD29aeEc2Ab0Fb6F0cc8C5bc892
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00150019ea65df85875f74e28c7db82b99b2c554881cc0e287e3c40cff562a92
1,395.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000a001a34303cb3b736c148b222a9669888718d5f24ba43ca4ad1b68d38f15b
