Spike bucket
10/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 10/23/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
77% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 218.65
Unexplained QUAI: 65.72
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
25x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
284.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 284 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
217.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net sender
Unknown type
111.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net sender
Unknown type
105.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011A1c0DF91684485B8b136379612B610401C4b
Net sender
Unknown type
1.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 217.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
528.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:13:37 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
11.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:12:33 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
284.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:14:40 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
13.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:15:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate32 tx
626.47 QUAI • 41 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:11:29 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:16:49 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
106.31 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:10:25 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/23/2026, 12:17:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:14:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:14:53 A.M.
From: 0x0011A1c0DF91684485B8b136379612B610401C4b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00050060ce1be616ebb90258e9c9e9211c5d695c002f41230da5216f7e497fd5
105.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b005346ad3faa959ec129aae7d035da0748cce3e59cb8f887e47e1b2faf5c
111.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/23/2026, 12:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a004f3137ef936f0c4d0f6b71898050db6035c18751dec33ecbc463742dce