Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 3:36:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 3:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
65% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,047.97
Unexplained QUAI: 565.51
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
5.1x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,613.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90 • 0x0076461A0AC2254082Ee217a876BaC2f9dAC6653.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1613 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90 • 0x0076461A0AC2254082Ee217a876BaC2f9dAC6653.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (35% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Net sender
Unknown type
999 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076461A0AC2254082Ee217a876BaC2f9dAC6653
Net receiver
Unknown type
999 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
48.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,613.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:36:08 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
315.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:34:57 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,664.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:37:20 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,209.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:33:45 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
193.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:32:32 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:38:32 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,074.03 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:39:44 A.M.
-5 min
13 tx
3,531.36 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:31:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
999 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:36:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
To: 0x0076461A0AC2254082Ee217a876BaC2f9dAC6653
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
48.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:36:10 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0074003e6ed8eb543ad08073bab928d8ab6bcab0abfbb4f14f4e1cb01d9df16e
999 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:36:10 A.M.
From: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
To: 0x0076461A0AC2254082Ee217a876BaC2f9dAC6653
Tx: 0x004d0044a1ada3b9867bcd3504b73d7707d77c08e2d39b92bd0b2ef0468ff281
