Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 3:33:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 3:34:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,847.3
Unexplained QUAI: 1,362
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,209.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4209 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,682.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,614.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007b50A4ACBC9223D6A14a6EADf44AFd1d88cC1A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,068.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
97.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
71.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
193.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:32:32 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
4,209.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:33:45 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
3,531.36 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:31:21 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
315.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:34:57 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,075.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:30:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,613.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:36:08 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
18.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:28:55 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
3,664.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:37:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,614.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
67.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:53 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0050000e18ce40c96fd71237ef61ecd5dfcdb2e697c8ad37d8cb2d1f1a6c8613
25.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:53 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00270004bb2c5f22f4f1f294729c31bf408e963c1b7f5da73855ed7ba1e47274
71.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:28 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a00036381380a1ab4a8c9458ce13bb2978d7bcd346a1157b2762313a11023
1,614.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0034000df4d5c1b67e0f18f91310819315a3cd0ce0977bd004118c6dda5e4304
1,068.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:33:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x007b50A4ACBC9223D6A14a6EADf44AFd1d88cC1A
Tx: 0x0059006b1670b8ce74576ce25ae866ff8cb94a3fed01bed1b9d93658dd39efc9
