Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 3:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 3:31:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 568.98
Unexplained QUAI: 2,962.38
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.2x previous minute
18x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
10
76.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
3,531.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 3531 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 3:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
225.03 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
175.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
113.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
Net sender
Unknown type
106.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00453b1588B5f94933d62c2582180aEDa7e94048
Net sender
Unknown type
98.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
3,531.36 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:31:21 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,075.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:30:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
18.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:28:55 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
193.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:32:32 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
244.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:27:43 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
4,209.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:33:45 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
205.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:26:31 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
315.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:34:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
113.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
98.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:26 A.M.
From: 0x00453b1588B5f94933d62c2582180aEDa7e94048
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006f001940cc0538081ed33def7701a6b23f91d2577ddfe199f4e3efb1af5d8a
113.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a007747c5408d4f3f4db5bb1b6fb7f4c122f87915d0ea8cd5973de36aa2fa
69.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0012002d964fe01a47e13f22237c7cee0df27210b6fc247227cef74b9e2a23de
62.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00390067cc72c3384494eb919e61453fcd3f82e58e8b935ed9f4520db2a446f3
48.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0019003ded66d42288fb27462a8ada410b141209d0be35fad2b8f71506848ee2
3.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004800735bc4fe7ce12d9de12cd368abd918b3ca129ebd57883b8d09d45d7192
106.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d00293870ec87111c6db0a8d00c6a89f0b5fc7af686a7a60d06460379706e
39.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00670015d70a57427f4c24e960589ff4df1708e52dfbb95971c9c2201d841d39
20.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006400416f31429b69993a89130303396a07ff0a6925fb97e02fb9d3e3fcd168
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0016fbaecef498f334406646432b84e63bb42506ab66d1f27bfe14996c93