Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 3:25:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 3:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,207.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
26x previous minute
98x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,155.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20155 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
108.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00461C323876FB10d59A276B9d7E098270ae2074
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00453b1588B5f94933d62c2582180aEDa7e94048
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
20,155.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:25:19 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
785.04 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:24:07 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
139.35 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:22:55 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
205.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:26:31 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
52,794.85 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:21:42 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
244.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:27:43 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:20:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
18.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:28:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:25:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
52.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:25:23 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x006b000fa695f50c0254224cf4b4067a63bb28a0f8fce0e81f85fde88f4058e8
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:25:23 A.M.
From: 0x00461C323876FB10d59A276B9d7E098270ae2074
To: 0x00453b1588B5f94933d62c2582180aEDa7e94048
Tx: 0x0025004a790238225877430e2c5f2e88a93ddee7a270a67d79091c8dbc25c0e2
55.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x0051001b5ccd3528843f6b42a3e4715b31364e07f1c972710fcd70ff647e9541
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 3:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0024000f528b560635ff6cacb73fc7cfd3591b17ed0fcdb6af2081c463739a61