Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 525.61
Unexplained QUAI: 526.04
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,051.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1052 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
272.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08
Net receiver
Unknown type
272.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
253.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Net receiver
Unknown type
118.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
4,737.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:57:38 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,051.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
689.51 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:56:26 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
12,636.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:00:02 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
1,752.39 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:55:13 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
10,827.16 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:01:16 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate12 tx
38,308.88 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:54:01 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
884.6 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:02:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
272.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
118.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:58:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x002500435d4e234ace3dec026adfecc8ef4663727e52022619ab015c3cca47e9
134.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Tx: 0x0012003995f56e47bc37f8c8c71054541d59bbac4c11f5cb52f91952a7e2151e
272.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08
Tx: 0x006200347cea83c474903641f4a665c592651b177d5048fff20de5f49a855ce2