Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:57:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,564.23
Unexplained QUAI: 1,172.98
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
6.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
4,737.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4737 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,209.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,264.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ccA6F72416a9f1675e50D685512f9FB9d6ae4
Net receiver
Unknown type
510.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
433.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
143.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
689.51 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:56:26 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
4,737.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:57:38 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
1,752.39 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:55:13 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,051.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate12 tx
38,308.88 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:54:01 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
12,636.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:00:02 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
5,676.85 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:52:49 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
10,827.16 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/23/2026, 3:01:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,264.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
92.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:56 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003500609d3a0e599e54449fc15ea907db0e3c841f5b8c1baec4db66627c7d59
433.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x0020006ecf1e512446a4f2fb30dbe5c402b0e858999a986406f590c8f8a462ad
119.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:21 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0009000d5fea4ccf08213a3d17961c8ac9ae6d5fde1ad23c1eaba50cd1dcc4d5
2,264.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94
Tx: 0x006b0035acea718e9e75b66dae8a9f9b29712326bdaef1d103cc0122ef8885a0
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:21 A.M.
From: 0x0002A68FFE3a43350E0B3c05781C655E6d04Fa0d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0064006895aeaf27a9876135ed7b9b51b82f1cd635ff4c39928a418792af5672
43.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:03 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0030007a76d219a2f27d5307b2fb2fb0e5311df12af84c525e67f553bb33aeba
510.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:57:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ccA6F72416a9f1675e50D685512f9FB9d6ae4
Tx: 0x003d00560531bfd21bdadeeb882149eecf90e84a03328ab4bd228576fc1c4e53
