Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,535.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
2,398.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2399 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,946.14 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,070.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,882.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,398.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:50:24 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
7,821.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:49:11 A.M.
-2 min
21 tx
20,821.54 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:47:59 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
27,535.99 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:51:37 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
17,481.84 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:46:47 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
5,676.85 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:52:49 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
4,439.61 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:45:35 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate12 tx
38,308.88 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:54:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,882.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x00700034936b9617624aff929df72df1e164fe30ec849a29f8ae630f76ab4332
1,542.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:54 A.M.
From: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00240038518e5d5065f0f97bea78a9c58082b92b7a11fb7390a3db4155109eda
1,528.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:54 A.M.
From: 0x003Fd6e93D703A524708213B9bAa9E7dDC220cF0
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0018b92cd5cbf761def4b43f2bcf3090b2bc5720df9fc69fd2cb85a6c3c2
876.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x007b0035e473620f4194afed4e5b1bd7039a69eb14b314b0650d652adebd85b7
75.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005e00660a0a13c9c79b3080d2e53fef35c5879e1524bf5adbb06a9bc8bfb732
103.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007D3dA731fe6b2b8Cc79B8d98F0A07A3956e0e2
Tx: 0x00150049c6824d132dea2a1af56fc91fe3e76384b028bee8f4feaa31dad075d1
742.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x0061006442d0e43df658a4aa3b3b67df1fc23238be9ff7b747158e95932672cf
341.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007FBDF9418442d4b6F82525C4c4F5B4b3964593
Tx: 0x003900647df0fb29eef1e0759bee91c9117d9fd4f000f2e0b36cd923e4d2d0a6
445.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
Tx: 0x0010006d53cac05d4727ea8c2da01756856e14c6ac17dddc9452b03bb744a213
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001c003c9c78b8db94edba01d0ba40d7c521cfe0032bd0efd7ff3f097265186c