Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,226.47
Unexplained QUAI: 9,474.28
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.6x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
11
84.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
14,700.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 14701 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,381.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,059.66 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,376.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,183.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net receiver
Unknown type
773.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
14,700.75 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:33:26 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
9,009.58 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:32:13 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
8,097.75 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
4,977.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:34:38 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate18 tx
17,037.77 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
16,276.76 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:35:51 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:28:30 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
7,883.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:37:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,376.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
79.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:44 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00790061bad041c5c0d9d612eb6860efb7aab7c8e059cb4a77fc3779676b3efa
107.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043ed21c06B3Cb0770Cb28112E5c50eE474a924
Tx: 0x005b0050e52c2bd61a540d58dcadb87a3fb125e821ace16030edeb2326578310
399.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005A95D6ea52b8b99bF10158F8eeEbb5B3e7Ac12
Tx: 0x0009006adac11f8faaf508c36195935c2d722fd0fdc5b5dd570b9efd60be0b3e
1,183.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x0050003864d08dbf8c6d64eb456791c765b15eb7a7d4ae9472126f772004745d
108.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0058199deA006A7d58dA686D18c0EB43Ca046765
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00230032851c12a0c1e1d7efc8f2bac8959eb04954e0e693635bd5fc32232ec5
71.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004d00025e5b366e29db0ce5ed2cd1c37696cc41dadf4b9ff3519e21263ddff2
125.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00575D0Ff01C2cc02FBab71d3b72A6FE01422aCd
Tx: 0x0021006162f6e430872ff39d251e572af1e0d6f5dfe76d3e9371fcc8063dbc0a
769.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004234A330c1d4F711D686d4709aBCAB10599F32
Tx: 0x00730069e4de0efe1343384ef8b6d5eb13a8d430f3eabaa1b7a3e437339245c8
1,376.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x003a0074c3d2cbcf4b7f5c2b66dd0f392540969190f8ba7d6144c41b0f2c562e
773.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x005a004f31aa291e2eb2a085928fed4d2391b442d2ec320fadcaf7f722c0a00f
231.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x004894e7C041BaC2a4575241c0Ec96DDd37866e0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00590061a259e30abb701ad588d4509ec03600125ff663c6c510894e2b8bacfe
